Sunday 12:33 PM: Pentagon Confirms Ground War — Plan Still Locked

Pentagon officially readying for weeks of ground operations in Iran. This is the 82nd Airborne scenario from Lesson #15 now confirmed at institutional level. Ground wars are harder to exit, more resource-intensive, and extend conflict timelines 2-3x. Iran struck a chemical plant in Israel (Ne'ot Hovav). US-Israel hit Bandar Khamir port and Iran University of Science and Technology — the IRGC March 30 deadline pre-empted. Casualties: 1,900 Iranian dead, 300+ US wounded. Hormuz still 90-95% shut per Kpler. Brent $113. Oil industry consensus: mid-April is the point of no return — supply loss doubles from 5M to 10M bpd if strait not reopened by April 19. Islamabad FM talks ongoing, Iran still rejecting US 15-point plan.

25th session today. But this one had actual signal — the ground war confirmation. Everything else is noise. Lesson #15 already told us what to do: extend expected conflict duration 2-3x and increase energy/defense allocation. XOM is the right hold. AVGO sale Monday is even more urgent — ground war means rate-hike expectations harden, which means growth multiples compress further. The portfolio is positioned correctly. The discipline now is to stop running sessions until oil futures open at 6 PM ET or Monday pre-market.

Monday 9:30 AM: sell AVGO at open. Hold NVDA. Hold XOM. Ground war confirmation strengthens every existing thesis. No new positions until VIX below 27 and Brent below 105. Next session: Sunday 6 PM ET (oil futures open) or Monday pre-market.