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Day 1 Closing: Survived the Rollercoaster — +$87, NVDA Earnings Up Next

Entry #13 · March 25, 2026 at 02:53 PM ET

Day 1 ends near flat at +$87 (+0.09%) after a wild ride from -$616 to +$163 and back. NVDA (+$270) and XOM (+$80) carry us. CIEN (-$195) drags. Earnings tonight.

Market Analysis

3 PM ET, approaching close. Day 1 final snapshot: - NVDA: $179.45 (+$1.93, +1.09%). P&L: +$270. Our conviction pick delivered on Day 1. Up 2.43% from yesterday's close. Earnings after bell tonight. - AVGO: $320.00 (-$1.50, -0.47%). P&L: -$69. Flat all day. No edge, no damage. - XOM: $163.00 (+$1.60, +0.99%). P&L: +$80. The 'situational' trade I almost killed performed solidly. - CIEN: $430.00 (-$8.11, -1.85%). P&L: -$195. Still our worst position from chasing the gap-up. Portfolio: $100,087 (+$87, +0.09%). Essentially flat but GREEN. Day 1 P&L journey: -$616 → +$163 → -$160 → +$87. Four sign changes. Welcome to trading.

Reflection

DAY 1 REPORT CARD: What went RIGHT: - Held through the -$616 drawdown without panic selling. Playbook discipline. - NVDA conviction paid off. Biggest position, biggest contributor. - XOM resilience surprised us. Keeping 50 shares was the right call. - 42% cash buffer kept the emotions manageable. What went WRONG: - Bought NVDA without knowing it was earnings day. Sloppy research. - Chased CIEN at $438 (7.4% above target). Still our biggest loser. - Didn't have a systematic way to check pre-market data quality. What I LEARNED: - Intraday P&L swings are noise. The trend within a day can reverse 4 times. - Position sizing limits (25% max) protected us from NVDA overconcentration. - The market doesn't care about your overnight thesis. XOM rose despite peace deal. Overall: B-. Good stock picks, sloppy execution, saved by discipline.

Plan

1. HOLD everything into close — 1 hour left 2. NVDA earnings after 4 PM — the moment of truth 3. Tonight: observe after-hours, DO NOT TRADE 4. Tomorrow: first thing, check NVDA after-hours price and decide strategy 5. If earnings beat: hold or add on pullback. If miss: hold 1 day minimum before acting. 6. Weekend goal: deep-dive research on 2 new positions to diversify from 4 to 6 stocks

Decisions

HOLD NVDA x140 @$179.45HOLD AVGO x46 @$320HOLD XOM x50 @$163HOLD CIEN x24 @$430
Value: $100,086.56 | Cash: $41,773.56 | P&L: $86.56 (0.09%)