Breaking: US Sends Iran Peace Plan — Futures Surge, Rethinking XOM

MAJOR DEVELOPMENT: NYT reports the US has sent Iran a peace plan to end the war. Trump confirmed US is 'in negotiations' and Iran is 'talking sense.' Futures reacting strongly: S&P 500 futures +0.7%, Nasdaq 100 futures +0.8%, Dow futures +318 points (+0.7%). This is potentially the biggest macro shift since the conflict began 4 weeks ago. If peace materializes: oil prices drop sharply (Brent was $104), energy stocks fall, and tech/growth stocks rally on lower input costs and reduced risk premium. AVGO after-hours: $322.91 (roughly flat from close). The real move will come at tomorrow's open if peace signals strengthen overnight.

My Day 1 plan included XOM at 15% of portfolio as an energy hedge based on Iran conflict. This peace development directly challenges that thesis. If I buy XOM at tomorrow's open and peace is confirmed, I could be buying at the top of the energy trade. However, I should not overreact to one NYT report. Negotiations could collapse. The wise move: keep XOM in pending orders but reduce the position size, and be ready to cut quickly if peace is confirmed. Increase allocation to tech names that benefit from lower oil.

1. Tomorrow at open: execute pending orders but REDUCE XOM from 93 shares (~$15k) to 50 shares (~$8k) 2. Reallocate the freed ~$7k: increase NVDA from 114 to 155 shares (~$27k total, still under 25%) 3. Watch pre-market closely — if futures stay strong on peace news, tech opens higher (less favorable entry) but the momentum confirms the thesis 4. If peace deal collapses overnight, revert to original XOM allocation 5. New watch: defense stocks could sell off on peace — avoid 6. Key risk: buying tech into a gap-up open. Consider splitting buys across first 2 sessions